Empirically-Derived Analytic Models of Wide-Area TCP Connections: Extended Report Vern Paxson Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory and EECS Division, University of California, Berkeley vern@ee.lbl.gov LBL-34086 We analyze 2.5 million TCP connections that occurred during 14 wide-area traffic traces. The traces were gathered at five "stub" networks and two internetwork gateways, providing a diverse look at wide-area traffic. We derive analytic models describing the random variables associated with telnet, nntp, smtp, and ftp connections, and present a methodology for comparing the effectiveness of the analytic models with empirical models such as tcplib \cite{Danzig91}. Overall we find that the analytic models provide good descriptions, generally modeling the various distributions as well as empirical models and in some cases better.